Draft order is determined by current standings.
1. New York Jets – Trevor Lawrence (QB/Clemson)
The Jets are the worst team in the league and for some reason, ownership has not fired Adam Gase yet. Sam Darnold isn’t necessarily a bad quarterback, but he’s stuck in an abysmal situation and Lawrence is simply too good of a prospect to pass up for the Jets.
2. New York Giants – Penei Sewell (OT/Oregon)
Yes, the Giants took Andrew Thomas with the No. 4 pick last year, but he hasn’t lived up to expectations so far (he has allowed the most sacks and pressures among all tackles this season) and, like Trevor Lawrence, Sewell is too good of a prospect to pass on. Some people are calling for a new signal-caller, but Daniel Jones has really never been in a great situation with this team and I believe their front office will be patient with him,.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars – Justin Fields (QB/Ohio State)
Gardner Minshew isn’t the answer and is now in danger of getting benched. The Jaguars have blown up their roster in anticipation of a rebuild and it needs to start with finally getting a franchise quarterback.
4. Atlanta Falcons – Trey Lance (QB/North Dakota State)
Atlanta is $25 million over the cap next year and Matt Ryan carries enough dead money that his departure would add an additional $9 million in the cap deficit, so he (and Julio Jones) aren’t going anywhere – for now. But the fact remains that Ryan is 35 and the Falcons just fired their head coach and general manager. Ryan has been a very good quarterback who helped push the Falcons past the Michael Vick era, but they would benefit from adding someone like Lance, letting him be the understudy for a year, and taking over the reigns in 2022.
5. Miami Dolphins – Ja’Marr Chase (WR/LSU)
Miami acquired this pick from Houston as part of the Laremy Tunsil trade and should use it to give Tua Tagovailoa another weapon. DeVante Parker is talented and Preston Williams has shown some promise, but Miami is incredibly thin at wide receiver and Chase is an incredible talent, winning the Biletnikoff Award last season after turning 84 receptions into 1,780 yard and 20 touchdowns.
6. Minnesota Vikings – Micah Parsons (LB/Penn State)
The man who reminded everyone that Penn State is “Linebacker U”, Parsons is comfortable both as a pass rusher and in coverage while being an elite sideline-to-sideline defender. While linebacker isn’t necessarily a need for the Vikings, Parsons is the best player available.
7. Cincinnati Bengals – Gregory Rosseau (EDGE/Miami FL)
Tackle has been the sexy pick here, but Sewell isn’t available, so instead, I am pivoting to the edge. Carlos Dunlap is getting long in the tooth and has seen his snaps decrease over the past few weeks. The problem is that they have no real candidate to replace him. Enter Rosseau, the 6-foot-7 edge rusher who was second in the nation with 15.5 sacks last year as a redshirt freshman.
8. Dallas Cowboys – Patrick Surtain II (CB/Alabama)
Dallas needs help at all levels of the defense, so look for them to go with the top defender available. Surtain is the son of former Dolphins All-Pro Patrick Surtain.
9. Washington Football Team – Samuel Cosmi (OT/Texas)
Washington granted Trent Williams his wish and traded him to San Francisco, but they did so without an in-house candidate to replace him. Geron Christian is tied with Andrew Thomas for the most sacks allowed this season by a tackle and whoever is going to be the quarterback for Washington in 2021 will need protection
10. Los Angeles Chargers – Alex Leatherwood (OT/Alabama)
Bryan Bulaga signed with the Chargers this offseason, but he has only played one full game due to a balky back while Sam Tevi is in his contract year. Protecting Justin Herbert needs to be on top of the Chargers list of priorities.
11. New England Patriots – Jaylen Waddle (WR/Alabama)
Don’t rule out Kyle Trask here either, but for now, I am sticking with Waddle, the dynamic receiver the Patriots desperately need. Julian Edelman is 34 and has lost a step this season.
12. Denver Broncos – Shaun Wade (CB/Ohio State)
A.J. Bouye has only played 44 snaps since arriving in Denver, but even if he was healthy, cornerback is a need as the team just lacks depth at the position, which is a pretty big deal since they have to face Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert four times a year.
13. Carolina Panthers – Kyle Pitts (TE/Florida)
Arguably the most exciting player in college this season, Pitts looks like he is going to be a special player in the NFL. Carolina moved on from Greg Olsen with Ian Thomas, but he hasn’t panned out like they hoped he would. The Panthers have a lot of pieces on offense and Pitts would provide another hard-to-defend player for opposing defenses to worry about.
14. Miami Dolphins – Dylan Moses (LB/Alabama)
Miami’s defense is leaps and bounds better this year than in 2019, due much in part to excellent coaching by Brian Flores, but they stand to improve at the heart. Moses is athletically gifted, but he has a tendency to overthink.
15. Las Vegas Raiders – Christian Barmore (DT/Alabama)
Both Maliek Collins and Johnathan Hankins are in their contract year in Vegas, so updating the interior defensive line is something that will need to be addressed either via free agency or the draft. Barmore has seen his stock skyrocket with increased playing time.
16. Detroit Lions – DeVonta Smith (WR/Alabama)
The run on Alabama players continue as Detroit looks to shore up a depleted wide receiver corps that stands to lose Kenny Golladay to free agency. Detroit only has $17 million in cap space, so Danny Amendola and Marvin Jones could find themselves made redundant as well depending on how Detroit addresses the position.
17. San Francisco 49ers – Caleb Farley (CB/Virginia Tech)
Richard Sherman and Jason Verrett are both free agents after this season and while Verrett has played well, Sherman has only played one game and at age 33, he’s not a lock to return.
18. New Orleans Saints – Kyle Trask (QB/Florida)
New Orleans is in true salary cap hell next offseason. They are currently projected to be $78 million over the cap and with Drew Brees looking like 2015 Peyton Manning, New Orleans needs to find their heir. Jameis Winston has been Brees’ understudy this season, but the issue is that with the Saints cap woes, it’s financially more lucrative to draft a quarterback than it is to sign Winston. Trask is very unpolished, but many of his flaws are coachable.
19. Philadelphia Eagles – Paulson Adebo (CB/Stanford)
Darius Slay was added in the offseason, but Nickell Robey-Coleman and Cre’Von LeBlanc are both in the final year of their deals. I feel like secondary is a perpetual need in Philadelphia, and something they always avoid spending an early pick on, but at some point, something’s gotta give, right?
20. Indianapolis Colts – Carlos Basham (EDGE/Wake Forest)
Indianapolis would love to have been in position to take Kyle Trask, but with him out of the picture, they instead pivot to pass rush, where they have managed just 13 sacks so far this year. Basham is technically sound and productive, racking up 14.5 sacks a year ago.
21. Cleveland Browns – Quincy Roche (EDGE/Miami FL)
Myles Garrett is playing at an elite level this year, but Olivier Vernon has performed poorly across from him in his contract year. You can never have enough pass rushers in the NFL and Roche can also provide a contingency for Cleveland if they are unable to hammer out an extension with Garrett.
22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Marvin Wilson (DT/Florida State)
At age 33, Ndamukong Suh is no longer the dominant force he once was while playing out the final year of his deal. Here is a replacement.
23. Jacksonville Jaguars – Paris Ford (S/Pittsburgh)
The Jaguars addressed the offense with the first pick, now they balance things out with the defense. Ford is a physical, aggressive player that fits the mold of their former elite defense.
24. Buffalo Bills – Wyatt Davis (G/Ohio State)
Buffalo just released Quinton Spain, leaving Ike Boettger as the left guard. This can’t be a long-term solution for them.
25. Chicago Bears – Rondale More (WR/Purdue)
Allen Robinson is frustrated with the team and will undoubtedly leave in the offseason, leaving the Bears thin at receiver. Regardless of who is taking snaps under center in the Windy City in 2021, he needs a playmaker.
26. Arizona Cardinals – Trey Smith (G/Tennessee)
The middle of the offensive line is a weak point for Arizona and Justin Pugh could become a cap casualty next spring. Smith dealt with blood clot issues early in his career, but seems to have managed his condition.
27. Baltimore Ravens – Kwity Pate (EDGE/Michigan)
Baltimore finally got their hands on Yannick Ngakoue, but he is still a free agent after the season and they could still use pass rushers aside from him. Paye logged two sacks against Minnesota last week.
28. Tennessee Titans – Patrick Jones II (EDGE/Pittsburgh)
Even after signing Jadeveon Clowney, the Titans pass rush has continued to be a sore spot for the team. Tennessee needs a disruptor.
29. New York Jets – Travis Etienne (RB/Clemson)
New York contiues their offensive overhaul – and hopefully without Adam Gase. Etienne is one of college football’s most dynamic runners and he would welcome the opportunity to reunite with his current teammate in the pros.
30. Kansas City Chiefs – Jay Tufele (DT/USC)
With Derrick Nnadi entering the final year of his deal in 2021, the Chiefs can afford to add a rotational piece who can ultimately replace him. Wide receiver is in the cards here too, but I feel that they have invested some serious capital at that position already.
31. Green Bay Packers – Baron Browning (LB/Ohio State)
Wide receiver is the bigger need, but that would come with the assumption that Green Bay has any interest in investing a first round pick on an offensive skill position. Green Bay let Blake Martinez walk in free agency and replace him with Krys Barnes in a move that hasn’t paid off for them.
32. Pittsburgh Steelers – Jaycee Horn (CB/South Carolina)
Joe Haden turns 32 next year and is in the final year of his contract while neither Haden, Mike Hilton or Steven Nelson are under contract beyond 2021.