1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-14) – Jameis Winston (QB/Florida State)
I mentioned earlier that unless Winston does something completely stupid, he is going No. 1. It will be incredibly awkward, however, to see the first overall draft pick not go up to the podium since Winston will be home with his family for the draft.
2. Tennessee Titans (2-14) – Marcus Mariota (QB/Oregon)
In previous mocks, I stated that Mariota would not end up in Tennessee, citing his ill fit for the system, but the Titans seem to be interested in him now. Of course, this could also be a smokescreen in order to trade down with someone (and a number of teams are interested in this selection). In the end, Mariota will go second overall, but it does not necessarily have to be Tennessee making the selection, especially with the return they could potentially receive.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-13) – Amari Cooper (WR/Alabama)
Jacksonville, Oakland and Washington could all trade down, but the Jaguars have reportedly been really interested in Cooper. Given how Justin Blackmon has turned out, the Jaguars need to fine a true No. 1 target for Blake Bortles. I have had a pass rusher going here for quite some time, but Cooper is a realistic option, especially since the Jaguars team did well on the pass rush last season despite a lack of an elite edge rusher.
4. Oakland Raiders (3-13) – Kevin White (WR/West Virginia)
Oakland lacks the offensive weapons needed for Derek Carr to be successful in the NFL. The Raiders have also had a penchant for taking athletes, and White fits that bill with a 4.35 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine.
5. Washington Redskins (4-12) – Dante Fowler (DE/OLB/Florida)
Brian Orakpo is gone and Ryan Kerrigan is in his walk year. The Redskins need an edge rusher who can get to the quarterback if they want to compete in the NFC East.
6. New York Jets (4-12) – Vic Beasley (OLB/Clemson)
The Jets land a much-needed young edge rusher who can put pressure on Tom Brady. New York is also reportedly interested in moving up for Mariota, but they are the dark horse to land the pick.
7. Chicago Bears (5-11) – Danny Shelton (NT/Washington)
Chicago has been tied to Shelton for quite some time now. Their defense is in desperate need of more talent and youth and Shelton could become a key cog at the position.
8. Atlanta Falcons (6-10) – Leonard Williams (DE/DT/USC)
Williams is considered by some as the best player in the draft, but a few teams are turned off by his inconsistency. I have had Tennessee taking him second overall for quite some time and he realistically could fall anywhere between second overall and now, but I can’t see him making it past the Falcons, who are desperate for help in the pass rush.
9. New York Giants (6-10) – Andrus Peat (OT/Stanford)
The Giants flirted with Georgia running back Todd Gurley for a bit, but in the end, their main guy has been Peat. He can start off at right tackle for New York, allowing Justin Pugh to move inside and eventually take over on the blind side.
10. St. Louis Rams (6-10) – Brandon Scherff (G/OT/Iowa)
The Rams are interested in three offensive linemen at this spot, Peat, Scherff and Ereck Flowers. With Peat gone, the Rams will likely move towards Scherff, whose long-term career in the NFL is more likely at guard than tackle, which is a big need for the Rams, especially after having Greg Robinson play inside last season.
11. Minnesota Vikings (7-9) – DeVante Parker (WR/Louisville)
The Vikings have reportedly soured on Cordarrelle Patterson and may be interested in finding a new top receiver instead. Parker has drawn comparison to A.J. Green and would add another wrinkle to a Minnesota offense that already has a lot of potential.
12. Cleveland Browns (7-9) – Alvin “Bud” Dupree (DE/OLB/Kentucky)
Cleveland is also interested in Shelton, but if he doesn’t make it past Chicago, they will have to look at other options. The pass rush was a weak point last season and the Browns will need to address it at some point in the draft.
13. New Orleans Saints (7-9) – Trae Waynes (CB/Michigam State)
With Shane Ray and Randy Gregory falling, New Orleans will look past the pass rush and address other positions of need on the team. Brandon Browner was signed this offseason, but play at cornerback was poor last year. Not to mention, in today’s NFL, you can never have enough help in the secondary.
14. Miami Dolphins (8-8) – Todd Gurley (RB/Georgia)
The Dolphins reportedly will not let Gurley fall past them. Gurley’s rehab from his ACL tear is going better than expected and he could even be ready by the start of the season.
15. San Francisco 49ers (8-8) – Arik Armstead (DE/DT/Oregon)
With Justin Smith retiring and Ray McDonald off the roster (and likely out of the league), Armstead would fill a big need in the 49ers defense that has taken significant losses this offseason.
16. Houston Texans (9-7) – Kevin Johnson (CB/Wake Forest)
I have had Jalen Collins here in previous mocks, but he will slide after failing multiple drug tests. Cornerback is a position of need in Houston, but has been masked due to the stellar play of J.J. Watt up front.
17. San Diego Chargers (9-7) – Ereck Flowers (OT/Miami FL)
The Chargers have King Dunlap and D.J. Fluker, but one of them will move inside if they can land Flowers. San Diego is in talks to move up to second overall, but if they fail to do so, they will look to protect the 34-year-old Philip Rivers.
18. Kansas City Chiefs (9-7) – Landon Collins (SS/Alabama)
Kansas City may be forced to move on from Eric Berry due to his health issues. Collins could fall on draft day, but it would be no surprise to see him selected here.
19. Cleveland Browns (7-9) – D.J. Humphries (OT/Florida)
Right tackle is a position of need in Cleveland, especially with the team wanting to move Mitchell Schwartz inside. Humphries has seen his stock rise since the combine.
20. Philadelphia Eagles (9-7) – Nelson Agholor (WR/USC)
Philadelphia has lost LeSean McCoy and Jeremy Maclin this offseason. The team needs a speedy receiver and someone who can compliment Jordan Matthews, who showed a lot of potential as a rookie last year. I had Brett Hundley in my previous mock and the team is really interested in Mariota, but with the logjam of personnel on their roster at quarterback, they may decide to pass on a signal caller.
21. Cincinnati Bengals (10-5-1) – Randy Gregory (OLB/Nebraska)
Gregory is a top five talent who will likely freefall today for a number of reasons. He was significantly underweight at the combine, he failed a drug test and now teams are being incredibly vague as to why, but they are removing him off of their draft board completely. Gregory could now land in an ideal spot on a good team and a very tough defense.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) – Byron Jones (CB/UConn)
The Steelers have not taken a cornerback in the first round since 1997, but that streak could end this year following the hit the team took in their secondary. Landon Collins is also a possibility if he falls here.
23. Detroit Lions (11-5) – Malcom Brown (DT/Texas)
The Lions somehow lost both Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley. The team will now be forced to scramble and find talent to replace them along the defensive line.
24. Arizona Cardinals (11-5) – Melvin Gordon (RB/Wisconsin)
The Cardinals need a lead back to take some pressure off of Carson Palmer this season. Gordon could become a significant playmaker in this offense, similar to Jamaal Charles in Kansas City.
25. Carolina Panthers (7-8-1) – T.J. Clemmings (OT/Pittsburgh)
The Panthers currently have Michael Oher penciled in at left tackle. If they true care about Cam Newton’s health, that will not last after the draft. Oher was one of the league’s worst starting right tackles last year, it will only be worse if he is on the blind side.
26. Baltimore Ravens (10-6) – Eddie Goldman (DE/DT/Florida State)
The Ravens lost Haloti Ngata this offseason, so finding a replacement will be necessary. Goldman could take over immediately.
27. Dallas Cowboys (12-4) – Marcus Peters (CB/Washington)
Dallas would love to land Gordon, but they may be forced to trade up for that to happen. The Cowboys are struggling at cornerback, where Morris Claiborne has sturggled and Brandon Carr has not lived up to his contact.
28. Denver Broncos (12-4) – Eric Kendricks (MLB/UCLA)
The Broncos struggled at inside linebacker all season. There are several options at this spot in the draft, but Kendricks is the top talent at inside linebacker and will be an immediate starter in Denver.
29. Indianapolis Colts (11-5) – Cameron Erving (G/Florida State)
The Colts have holes all across their offensive line. Erving played everywhere on the Seminoles offensive line and offers much versatility.
30. Green Bay Packers (12-4) – Denzel Perryman (MLB/Miami FL)
The Packers brass has been pushing for Perryman. Inside linebacker was a weakness last season and Clay Matthews was forced to move inside in order to accomodate.
31. New Orleans Saints (7-9) – Shane Ray (DE/OLB/Missouri)
I contemplated moving Shane Ray out of the first round, but I think he is way too talented to not be scooped up at some point. The Saints land the top corner and are still able to upgrade their weak pass rush with this selection.
32. New England Patriots (13-3) – Dorial Green-Beckham (WR/Oklahoma)
Don’t let the pic fool you, Green-Beckham spent a year unable to play for the Sooners. Regardless, his stock is rising again and he will likely go in the first round. New England will not mind his personal issues and will likely get the most out of him.