1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-14) – Jameis Winston (QB/Florida State)
At this point, Jameis is going to have to do something really stupid to not get drafted first overall. He has shown that he is the superior prospect to Marcus Mariota, even with the excess baggage, which he seems to be moving past. Tampa Bay is desperate for help at quarterback and perhaps bringing in a player who won a BCS National Championship in Florida could help sell tickets for a team have ranked 29th or worst in the league in ticket sales since 2010.
2. Tennessee Titans (2-14) – Leonard Williams (DE/USC)
I have mocked Randy Gregory here recently, but after he weighed in at just 235, it is hard to see him as the top edge rusher in this draft. Williams and Jurrell Casey would create a fearsome combo along the Titans defensive line.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-13) – Dante Fowler (DE/OLB/Florida)
The obvious need in Jacksonville is right tackle, but you don’t spend the third overall pick in a draft at right tackle. Fowler jumps up after Gregory’s weight became a cause for concern at the Combine.
4. Oakland Raiders (3-13) – Kevin White (WR/West Virginia)
There were those out there who preferred White over Amari Cooper and he may have just sealed that deal with a blazing fast 40-yard dash at the Combine (4.35). It’s no secret that Oakland has a penchant for taking Combine heroes, and they desperately need an offensive playmaker for Derek Carr.
5. Washington Redskins (4-12) – Vic Beasley (OLB/Clemson)
Beasley may have had the most impressive Combine of all players. He showed up weighing 246, 10 pounds heavier than he was during the season, which is significant considering a lot of teams were concerned about his size. He then ripped off 35 reps on the bench and ran a 4.53 40-yard dash. Washington is moving way from Brian Orakpo, and Beasley could be a solid replacement.
6. New York Jets (4-12) – Marcus Mariota (QB/Oregon)
This pick really comes down to what happens in Tennessee. I doubt the Titans take Mariota, who is not a fit in Ken Whisenhunt’s offense, but they could always trade with a team – including the Jets. New York is ushering in a new head coach and general manager, which almost always means a new quarterback. The exceptions, of course, are teams who have a franchise quarterback already, which clearly isn’t the case for the Jets.
7. Chicago Bears (5-11) – Danny Shelton (NT/Washington)
Chicago is officially moving to a 3-4 defense and will need a big nose tackle up front. If Shelton is not selected, expect the Bears to find an edge rusher or a cornerback. Almost every player on their defense could be upgraded.
8. Atlanta Falcons (5-11) – Randy Gregory (OLB/Nebraska)
His weight will scare a few teams, but he allegedly was battling a stomach bug and a just a shade below 6’5″, he has plenty of room to bulk up. Atlanta gets a steal at this spot with one of the draft’s best pass rushers for a team who is desperate for help in that department.
9. New York Giants (6-10) – Andrus Peat (OT/Stanford)
Peat falls into the best possible situation in New York. He will be seen as the left tackle of the future while Will Beatty continues to occupy that spot. In the meantime, Peat will stay on the right side and continue to be a good run blocker while improving in the passing game.
10. St. Louis Rams (6-10) – Amari Cooper (WR/Alabama)
St. Louis needs another wideout to play across from the underwhelming Tavon Austin. Unlike Austin, Cooper is a bigger, more physical wide receiver who can win jump balls in coverage.
11. Minnesota Vikings (7-9) – DaVante Parker (WR/Louisville)
Cordarrelle Patterson is quickly wearing out his welcome in Minnesota and the Vikings has reportedly been seeking to trade him. Even if he stays, adding another wide receiver, especially one who is familiar with Teddy Bridgewater, is needed.
12. Cleveland Browns (7-9) – Alvin “Bud” Dupree (DE/OLB/Kentucky)
Cleveland is potentially losing Jabaal Sheard in free agency and Barkevious Mingo has looked like a bust. Paul Kruger had a career year, but the Browns will need to find another pass rusher to help compete in a tough AFC North.
13. New Orleans Saints (7-9) – Shane Ray (DE/OLB/Missouri)
The Saints defense looked horrific at times last season and struggled to get to the quarterback with Cameron Jordan commanding double teams. Ray was injured, and therefore unable to pad his stock at the Combine, but he may fall into the best situation among pass rushers. New Orelans plays in a bad division and a second pass rusher across from Jordan could put them over the top.
14. Miami Dolphins (8-8) – Trae Waynes (CB/Michigan State)
Brent Grimes is still a solid cornerback, but he’s no spring chicken. Cortland Finnegan had a nice rebound campaign, but he is also aging and was only a stop-gap solution. Trae Waynes ran a 4.31 40-yard dash, which not only help solidify him as the top cornerback, but it boosted his draft stock as well.
15. San Francisco 49ers (8-8) – Brandon Scherff (G/Iowa)
Scherff has been seen as a tackle by many, but his skill set really translates to guard in the NFL. Mike Iupati will be a free agent this spring, so the 49ers may be looking to replace him. Wide receiver is another obvious option, but with the top three wideouts are gone, the other receivers are a reach here.
16. Houston Texans (9-7) – Jalen Collins (CB/LSU)
Deficiencies in the Texans secondary were masked last year by the tremendous play of JJ Watt. The unit is in serious need of an upgrade, and on top of it, Kareem Jackson is a free agent. Collins re-established himself as a first rounder after a solid showing at the Combine.
17. San Diego Chargers (9-7) – Todd Gurley (RB/Georgia)
It has been difficult to peg where Gurley should be taken due to his ACL tear, but after arriving at the Combine and showing his recovery is actually ahead of schedule, he is easily back in the discussion of not only being the first running back taken, but near the middle of the first round as well. Ryan Mathews ad his perpetually broke collarbone are headed to free agency and Branden Oliver flamed out as the season wore on. Gurley could help give Philip Rivers some relief.
18. Kansas City Chiefs (9-7) – Landon Collins (SS/Alabama)
With Eric Berry’s career in serious jeopardy, the Chiefs may be forced to move on without him. Luckily, they have a chance to land the best possible replacement for him in this draft.
19. Cleveland Browns (7-9) – Ereck Flowers (OT/Miami FL)
The Browns have one of the league’s best left tackles in Joe Thomas, but they need to upgrade the right side now that Mitchell Schwartz is sliding inside. Flowers did 37 reps on the bench press at the Combine.
20. Philadelphia Eagles (9-7) – Brett Hundley (QB/UCLA)
Mark Sanchez is headed to free agency and the Eagles staff has soured on Nick Foles. Rumor has it that the team really wants Marcus Mariota, but it is doubtful they can put together a trade for him. Philadelphia is also interested in Hundley in case they can’t land the Heisman Trophy winner. Drafting Hundley here is an absolute reach, but quarterbacks are commonly drafted higher than their value and there is a slim chance he is available for Philadelphia in Round 2. The Eagles could also trade back up to the first to acquire him.
21.Cincinnati Bengals (10-5-1) – Arik Armstead (DE/Oregon)
Cincinnati’s pass rush struggled throughout 2014 and it took a toll on their defense. Armstead will be the replacement for Michael Johnson the team failed to acquire last offseason.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) – Shaq Thompson (OLB/Washington)
A bad showing at the Combine damaged his stock, but Thompson, a strongside linebacker, could potentially replace free agent Jason Worilds.
23. Detroit Lions (11-5) – Malcom Brown (DT/Texas)
Detroit is stuck choosing between Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley (one that will more than likely end up being Suh) as both defensive tackles are free agents and they can only afford to keep one. Luckily, there is plenty of talent at defensive tackle in this draft.
24. Arizona Cardinals (11-5) – Eric Kendricks (ILB/UCLA)
Arizona has been unable to cover the tight end in recent years, and it is something they will look to address at some point. Kendricks outshone all other interior linebackers at the Combine, putting himself back to the top of the positional list.
25. Carolina Panthers (7-8-1) – TJ Clemmings (OT/Pittsburgh)
It’s no secret that the Panthers offensive line was awful last season. Clemmings would immediately come in to protect Cam Newton’s blind side.
26. Baltimore Ravens (10-6) – PJ Williams (CB/Florida State)
Baltimore was at one point stuck signing cornerbacks off the street last season. Williams could potentially slip into the second round, but he would serve as a much needed upgrade if Baltimore selected him.
27. Dallas Cowboys (12-4) – Melvin Gordon (RB/Wisconsin)
Despite the newest fiasco involving Dez Bryant, it is still more likely Dallas keeps their star receiver over their star running back, DeMarco Murray. Adding Gordon could ease the transition and continue to give the Cowboys one of the league’s most feared offenses.
28. Denver Broncos (12-4) – Denzel Perryman (ILB/Miami FL)
Denver’s weakest link on defense was at middle linebacker, where Defensive Coordinator Jack Del Rio was able to make the most out of what little talent he had. Perryman is a bit of a reach, but fills a big need, not to mention he’s already used to wearing orange.
29. Indianapolis Colts (11-5) – Byron Jones (CB/UConn)
Vontae Davis has been a great acquisition for Indianapolis, but they need another man to play across from him. Jones had a solid tape before the Combine, but he really turned some heads there and could sneak into the first round.
30. Green Bay Packers (12-4) – Maxx Williams (TE/Minnesota)
Green Bay is potentially losing Randall Cobb and AJ Hawk was recently released, so tight end is not the biggest position of need, but adding a safety valve for Aaron Rodgers never hurts.
31. Seattle Seahawks (13-3) – Eddie Goldman (DT/Florida State)
After Brandon Mebane went down, Seattle showed just how thin they were at defensive tackle. Goldman can help bring depth to the position.
32. New England Patriots (13-3) – Jaelen Strong (WR/Arizona State)
New England is currently employing Brandon LaFell as their no. 2 receiver. The Patriots are going to want to give Tom Brady better options to throw to if they want to win the Super Bowl again.