Games watched: 14

Overall average throw efficiency: 87.0%

Short Passing:

  • 29.7% of throws behind or within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage.
  • Missed 4.5% of those throws

10-20 Yard Range:

  • Overall throw efficiency: 82.0%
  • 17 touchdowns
  • 4 turnover worthy throws

Deep Passing:

  • 22.4% of all throws were blue throws
  • 74.7% success rate on those throws
  • 35.1 average air yards per successful blue throw
  • 32:3 touchdown to turnover worthy throw ratio

Third and Fourth Down Stats:

  • Third down conversion percentage: 75.0%
  • Average distance to go: 6.85 yards
  • 11:2 touchdown to turnover worthy throw ratio

Third Down Red Zone Efficiency:

  • Conversions/Attempts: 5/11
  • Conversion percentage: 45.5%
  • 5:1 touchdown to turnover worthy throw ratio
  • Blue Throws on third down: 20.0% of all third down conversions

Fourth Down Efficiency:

  • Average distance to go: 5.2 yards
  • Conversions/Attempts: 5/9
  • Conversion percentage: 55.6%

Red Zone Efficiency:

  • 45 Attempts
  • 9 Misses
  • 26:1 touchdown to turnover worthy throw ratio
  • 16 end zone shots (pass delivered in the endzone)

Additional:

  • Cross-field throws: 28
  • Cover-2 hole shots: 4

20+ yard Throw Efficiency map
Key:

QB Volatility Chart:

Impressions: While I do have my concerns, I really like what I see from Kyler Muray. I would love to know his football IQ to get a better idea of if he was simply executing the offense or he understands what’s going on regardless of the scheme. Many of his throws are made from rolling the pocket and changing the launch point. It feels like he plays from a clean pocket the majority of the time and he excels at that. While many times when he feels pressure, he scrambles around to make a throw, there are just as many instances where he takes off and eats up yards of grass.

His arm talent is excellent. Not elite, but very strong. His throwing is effortless and he can throw from all arm angles and platforms. He’s dialed up plenty of 50 air yard dimes throughout the season. His arm may cap around 60 yards at game speed. His big thing is the zip on it. Oklahoma Head Coach Lincoln Riley regularly dials up throws across the field at all different distances. This is one of the more important things I look at and one of the reasons I’m not sold entirely on West Virginia’s Will Grier (who is a half-field thrower).

Murray is a playmaker outside of structure. He can throw off platform and on the run with all arm angles. His movements are so sudden and he is the most electric runner we’ve seen in years. He gets to the edge and splits defenders with ease. Very twitchy runner, is smart with contact and slides often.

Size is obviously a concern. He only had five batted balls that I counted this season, which is better than others in the class. Much of that is the rolling pocket. I wonder if those were installed at such a high rate due to his size and getting him cleaner throwing lanes. He is a tough player though. He has taken some big hits and popped right back up.

Overall, Murray is must watch TV. He may be the most electric dual-threat quarterback we’ve ever seen. If you are willing to change your style of play and build your offense around him, you could end up with one of the best players in the league.

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